Scenarios Forum 2022 (20-22 JUNE 2022)

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Forum on Scenarios for Climate and Societal Futures

The Scenarios Forum will be taking place as an in-person and partly online conference at the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA) and Laxenburg Conference Center in Laxenburg, Austria

By taking stock of recent progress, reflecting on the use of scenarios in environmental assessments and policy-making, and facilitating further scenario-related research, this meeting will inform the use of scenarios in the preparation for the next cycle of IPCC Assessment Reports (AR7) and help ensure a research base sufficient to inform future national and international assessments as well as policy initiatives, including the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs).

About

An important, but not exclusive, focus of the meeting will be the ongoing process of developing, updating and using the so-called “scenarios framework” for fostering integrated climate change and sustainability research. As part of that framework, a new set of societal futures, the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs), has been developed and used by integrated assessment models to produce global energy, land use, and emissions scenarios based on them. Climate models, mainly through CMIP6 ScenarioMIP, have simulated alternative climate outcomes driven by those emission – and derived concentration – scenarios, which add and in some cases update the CMIP5 simulations driven by the older Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs).

 

Scientific Steering Committee Members

Bas van Ruijven, International Institute for Applied System Analysis (IIASA), Austria (Chair)

Henrik CarlsenStockholm Environment Institute (SEI), Sweden 

Vaibhav Chaturvedi, Council on Energy, Environment and Water (CEEW), India

Kristie Ebi, University of Washington (UW), USA

Jan Fuglestvedt, Center for International Climate Research (CICERO), Norway

Mary Gasalla, University of Sao Paulo Oceanographic Institute (IOUSP), Brazil 

Paula Harrison, UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology (UKCEH), UK

Kasper Kok, Wageningen University (WUR), Netherlands 

Elmar Kriegler, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Germany

Julia Leininger, German Development Institute (DIE), Germany

Seth Monteith, ClimateWorks Foundation, USA

Brian O’Neill, Joint Global Change Research Institute (JGCRI), USA

Laura Pereira, University of the Witwatersrand, South Africa

Ramon Pichs, Center for World Economy Studies (CIEM), Cuba 

Keywan Riahi, International Institute for Applied System Analysis (IIASA), Austria

Sonia Seneviratne, ETH Zürich (ETHZ), Switzerland

Jana Sillman, Center for International Climate Research (CICERO), Norway

Kiyoshi TakahashiNational Institute for Environmental Studies (NIES), Japan 

Claudia Tebaldi, Joint Global Change Research Institute (JGCRI), USA

Detlef van Vuuren, Netherlands Environmental Agency (PBL), Netherlands

 

.By taking stock of recent progress, reflecting on the use of scenarios in environmental assessments and policy-making, and facilitating further scenario-related research, this meeting will inform the use of scenarios in the preparation for the next cycle of IPCC Assessment Reports (AR7) and help ensure a research base sufficient to inform future national and international assessments as well as policy initiatives, including the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs).

About

An important, but not exclusive, focus of the meeting will be the ongoing process of developing, updating and using the so-called “scenarios framework” for fostering integrated climate change and sustainability research. As part of that framework, a new set of societal futures, the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs), has been developed and used by integrated assessment models to produce global energy, land use, and emissions scenarios based on them. Climate models, mainly through CMIP6 ScenarioMIP, have simulated alternative climate outcomes driven by those emission – and derived concentration – scenarios, which add and in some cases update the CMIP5 simulations driven by the older Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs).

 

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